The Home Falcons's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Buccaneers

Sun, Dec 20, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-20 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Falcons are predicted with a 75.2% to lose at home against the Buccaneers.

The Falcons are predicted to score 12.5 points on the home turf against Buccaneers. The Falcons are estimated from the model to throw for 254.0 yards on 39.2 attempts for 24.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Falcons will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Buccaneers defense on 22.5 attempts for a projected 68.4 yards.

The Buccaneers are estimated to score 24.3 points on the road. Our model forecasts Buccaneers will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Falcons defense on a forecasted 33.9 competitions with 49.1 attempts for 329.7 yards. The model predicts the Buccaneers will rush on 26.5 attempts against the Falcons with an estimated total of 89.8 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 62.3% probability to cover a -6.5 spread, the Buccaneers are the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 58.1% over estimate and -110 line odds for 49.0 runs.

Posted at Sun, December 20, 2020 13:01:48 UTC