The Home Chiefs's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Ravens

Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-22 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Chiefs have a 56.9% take a home loss against the Ravens.

In their hometown, the Chiefs are forecast to score 27.4 points. The Chiefs are estimated from the model to throw for 251.3 yards on 40.7 attempts for 19.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.6 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will rush for 1.7 touchdowns against the Ravens defense on 29.2 attempts for a projected 271.8 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast the Ravens to score 35.5 points on the road. The Ravens are predicted from the model to throw for 300.8 yards on 41.4 attempts for 26.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.6 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Ravens will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Chiefs defense on 23.2 attempts for a projected 90.9 yards.

For this game, the Ravens are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 56.9% probability to beat the +6.5 point spread. With an over/under of 54.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 80.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 21:34:58 MST