The Home Chiefs's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Broncos

Thu, Dec 3, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-07 -- The Chiefs have a 64.7% likelihood to fall to the Broncos with a based on our model.

The Chiefs are estimated to score 16.7 points at home. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the Broncos defense on a projected 20.4 competitions with 36.4 attempts for 237.3 passing yards. The Chiefs are predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Broncos with 22.5 rush attempts for 123.5 yards.

The Broncos are estimated to score 24.0 points on the road. Our model forecasts Broncos will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Chiefs defense on a forecasted 24.1 competitions with 39.0 attempts for 246.3 yards. The Broncos are estimated from the model to rush for 1.0 touchdowns against Chiefs with 30.5 rush attempts for 168.9 yards.

An estimated 88.0% likelihood to beat a +14.0 point spread, the best value is on the Broncos in their matchup against the Chiefs. With a predicted 55.7% likelihood and -110 odds at 51.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, December 3, 2020 13:04:11 UTC