The Home Chargers's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Patriots

Thu, Dec 3, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-06 -- The Chargers change of losing to the Patriots is 67.3% based on our model.

In their hometown, the Chargers are forecast to score 18.7 points. Our model forecasts the Chargers will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the Patriots defense on a projected 21.5 competitions with 33.9 attempts for 257.3 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Chargers will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Patriots defense on 23.3 attempts for a projected 110.0 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast the Patriots to score 28.5 points on the road. The Patriots are predicted from the model to throw for 254.7 yards on 36.9 attempts for 25.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.8 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. The Patriots are predicted to run for 242.5 yards on 36.5 attempts with an estimated 1.6 touchdowns.

The Patriots are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 69.8% likelihood estimate to cover a +-0.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 77.2% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 47.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, December 3, 2020 13:04:11 UTC