The Home Buccaneers's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Chargers

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-04 -- The Buccaneers have a 62.7% likelihood to fall to the Chargers with a based on our model.

The Buccaneers are predicted to score 17.9 points on the home turf against Chargers. The Buccaneers are estimated from the model to throw for 225.2 yards on 45.0 attempts for 25.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 2.1 interception. Our model forecasts the Buccaneers will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Chargers defense on 22.0 attempts for a projected 171.2 yards.

On the road, the Chargers are forecast to score 24.5 points against Buccaneers. The Snoozle football model predicts Chargers will throw 26.5 competitions on 44.7 attempts against the Buccaneers with a forecasted 2.5 interceptions for a total of 296.6 yards and 1.8 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Chargers will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Buccaneers defense on 28.5 attempts for a projected 105.1 yards.

The Chargers are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 78.6% likelihood estimate to cover a +7.0 point spread. With an over/under of 42.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 75.1% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:08:09 UTC