The Home Browns's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Steelers

Thu, Nov 14, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-11-15 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, the Steelers are likely to fail on the road with a 49.7% chance of being correct against the Browns.

The Browns are estimated to score 16.6 points at home. The Browns are expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 42.9 pass attempts with 21.9 competitions for 228.6 yards, and an estimated 2.0 interceptions. The model estimates the Browns will run on 24.2 attempts against the Steelers with an estimated total of 126.4 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast the Steelers to score 15.5 points on the road. The Steelers are forecast to pass for 1.0 touchdowns on 41.0 pass attempts with 23.6 competitions for 227.5 yards, and a predicted 2.0 interceptions. The Steelers are predicted to run for 111.7 yards on 25.4 attempts with an estimated 0.5 touchdowns.

An estimated 56.5% likelihood to beat a +3.0 point spread, the best value is on the Steelers in their matchup against the Browns. With an over/under of 40.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 53.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, November 14, 2019 13:05:20 UTC