The Home Bowling Green's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Toledo

Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-12 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Bowling Green is predicted with a 94.5% to lose at home against Toledo.

Bowling Green is estimated to score 9.5 points at home. Bowling Green is estimated from the model to throw for 121.6 yards on 24.6 attempts for 13.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.4 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions. Bowling Green is forecast to rush for 147.3 yards on 33.6 attempts with an estimated 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

Toledo is estimated to score 38.5 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Toledo will throw 21.9 competitions on 35.7 attempts against Bowling Green with a forecasted 0.4 interceptions for a total of 336.9 yards and 2.5 touchdowns. Our model forecasts Toledo will rush for 2.1 touchdown against the Bowling Green defense on 54.8 attempts for a projected 315.4 yards.

For this game, Toledo is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 94.5% probability to beat the -26.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 70.3% over estimate and -110 line odds for 64.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC