The Home Bengals's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Chargers

Mon, Sep 7, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-09-13 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Bengals have a 68.8% take a home loss against the Chargers.

The Bengals have an average of 15.9 points in our model for the game. The Bengals are expected to throw for 1.0 touchdowns with 30.5 pass attempts with 17.1 competitions for 200.2 yards, and an estimated 0.1 interception. The Bengals are predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Chargers with 26.0 rush attempts for 135.3 yards.

The Chargers are estimated to score 25.3 points on the road. The Chargers are predicted from the model to throw for 323.1 yards on 46.2 attempts for 30.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.0 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions. The Chargers are estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Bengals with 28.5 rush attempts for 133.4 yards.

Based on a predicted 63.3% probability to cover a -3.5 spread, the Chargers are the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 44.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 67.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Mon, September 7, 2020 11:09:04 MST