The Home Baylor's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Oklahoma

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- Baylor under perform at home with a 79.8% chance to lose against Oklahoma based on our football model.

Baylor is estimated to score 21.8 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates Baylor will throw 20.1 competitions on 31.6 attempts against Oklahoma with an estimated 0.7 interceptions for a total of 238.3 yards and 1.4 passing touchdowns. Baylor is predicted from the model to run for 1.0 touchdowns against Oklahoma with 30.0 rush attempts for 166.7 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast Oklahoma to score 40.6 points on the road. Oklahoma is forecast to pass for 2.8 touchdowns on 35.9 pass attempts with 24.2 competitions for 365.4 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. Oklahoma is predicted to run for 311.0 yards on 44.9 attempts with an estimated 2.3 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 66.9% probability to cover a -10.0 spread, Oklahoma is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 67.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 62.9% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC