The Home Arizona State's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Oregon

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Arizona State under perform at home with a 74.2% chance to lose against Oregon based on our football model.

Arizona State has an average of 15.7 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Arizona State will throw 17.7 competitions on 30.1 attempts against Oregon with an estimated 0.2 interceptions for a total of 236.4 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Arizona State will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Oregon defense on 34.7 attempts for a projected 125.7 yards.

On the road, Oregon is forecast to score 27.0 points against Arizona State. Our model forecasts Oregon will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Arizona State defense on a forecasted 29.3 competitions with 42.2 attempts for 320.3 yards. The model predicts Oregon will rush on 38.6 attempts against Arizona State with an estimated total of 152.1 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

According to the odds and a forecasted 54.8% chance to beat the +14.5 point spread, Arizona State is the best value. The over/under line of 54.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 58.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC