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The Home 49ers's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Packers

Wed, Nov 4, 2020 | Rob Otto

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2020-11-06 -- The Packers has an estimated 47.7% likelihood to lose to the 49ers based on our model.

The 49ers are estimated to score 20.0 points at home. The 49ers are estimated from the model to throw for 267.4 yards on 38.4 attempts for 23.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.6 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions. The 49ers are forecast to rush for 122.6 yards on 27.0 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast the Packers to score 20.4 points on the road. The Packers are forecast to pass for 1.5 touchdowns on 38.0 pass attempts with 24.0 competitions for 263.6 yards, and a predicted 1.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Packers will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the 49ers defense on 29.4 attempts for a projected 131.8 yards.

For this game 49ers are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 53.9% chance to beat a +3.5 spread. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 50.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Wed, November 4, 2020 13:04:41 UTC