The Home 49ers's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Packers

Thu, Jan 16, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-01-19 -- The 49ers change of losing to the Packers is 60.0% based on our model.

At home, the 49ers are forecast to score 15.0 points. The 49ers are estimated from the model to throw for 209.0 yards on 36.9 attempts for 20.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. The model estimates the 49ers will run on 26.2 attempts against the Packers with an estimated total of 146.8 yards and 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

The Packers are predicted to score 20.3 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts Packers will throw 26.0 competitions on 42.3 attempts against the 49ers with a forecasted 1.7 interceptions for a total of 278.3 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. The Packers are estimated from the model to rush for 0.7 touchdowns against 49ers with 28.9 rush attempts for 134.3 yards.

An estimated 79.2% likelihood to beat a +7.0 point spread, the best value is on the Packers in their matchup against the 49ers. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 45.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Thu, January 16, 2020 13:00:26 UTC