The Giants Forecasted at Home to Beat Favored Bills

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-15 -- The Giants are predicted to win over the visiting Bills based a 71.1% win prediction from the football model.

The Giants are estimated to score 27.6 points at home. Our model forecasts the Giants will pass for 0.2 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions against the Bills defense on a projected 27.7 competitions with 43.3 attempts for 36.8 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Giants will rush for 3.0 touchdowns against the Bills defense on 25.1 attempts for a projected 439.9 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Bills have an average of 17.2 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Bills will throw 16.1 competitions on 33.4 attempts against the Giants with a forecasted 2.1 interception for a total of 155.2 yards and 0.8 touchdowns. The Bills are predicted to run for 196.7 yards on 32.2 attempts with an estimated 1.1 touchdown.

The Giants are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 75.1% estimated to cover a +2.0 spread. With an over/under of 44.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 76.7% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 21:04:32 MST