The Chiefs's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog Buccaneers

Wed, Feb 3, 2021 | Rob Otto


2021-02-07 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Chiefs have a 67.4% chance to lose to the home town Buccaneers.

The Chiefs are predicted to score 14.7 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts Chiefs will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions against the Buccaneers defense on a forecasted 23.8 competitions with 37.9 attempts for 256.6 yards. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will rush for 0.4 touchdowns against the Buccaneers defense on 21.9 attempts for a projected 92.7 yards.

At home, the Buccaneers are forecast to score 22.5 points. The Buccaneers are expected to throw for 1.8 touchdowns with 45.0 pass attempts with 27.9 competitions for 300.5 yards, and an estimated 1.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Buccaneers will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Chiefs defense on 24.9 attempts for a projected 106.0 yards.

The Buccaneers are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 73.4% estimated to cover a +3.0 spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 79.1% over estimate and -110 line odds for 56.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, February 3, 2021 13:00:39 UTC