The At-Home Yankees with Top Predicted Hitter Gary Sanchez Forecasted Winner Over the Rockies

Fri, Jul 19, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Kyle Freeland of the Colorado Rockies delivers a pitch at Coors Field in October 2017.
Jennifer Linnea on Flickr License

July 19, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Brett Gardner and Charlie Blackmon, our model estimates the Yankees have an estimated 63.88% likelihood of defeating the Rockies.

The hosting Yankees have J.A. Happ in the rotation against the Rockies's pitcher Kyle Freeland. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.507 innings, allowing 2.870 earned runs, with a 2.425 walks. The Rockies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.090 outs, allow 3.263 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game.

Hitters Gary Sanchez from the Yankees and Charlie Blackmon from the Rockies will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Gary Sanchez is estimated to bring in 0.948 RBIs and 0.792 runs scored, with an 0.336 OBP and 1.370 Ks. The Rockies's Charlie Blackmon from the plate is forecast to score 0.810 runs, 0.773 RBIs and have a 0.354 OBP.

With +200 money line odds and a estimated 36.12% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Rockies over the Rockies. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-115)/under(-105) odds, the 11.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Fri, July 19, 2019 13:17:39 MST