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The At-Home Underdog Padres with Top Predicted Hitter Eric Hosmer Forecasted Winner Over the Red Sox
Fri, Aug 23, 2019 | Emma Botos
Rafael Devers
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 23, 2019 -- The Padres have a 52.70% chance of winning at home against the Red Sox according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.
The hosting Padres have Chris Paddack in the rotation against the Red Sox's pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez. The Padres starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.703 outs, allow 1.963 earned runs, and a 0.028 probability of a complete game. The Red Sox starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.999 outs, allow 2.245 earned runs, and a 0.017 probability of a complete game.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Eric Hosmer and Rafael Devers from Padres and Red Sox, respectively. According to our game model, Eric Hosmer 1B is estimated to bring in 0.558 RBIs and 0.512 runs scored, with an 0.325 OBP and 0.969 Ks. Rafael Devers is forecast to bring in 0.506 RBIs and 0.526 runs scored, with an 0.305 OBP and 0.735 Ks.
Based on the +100 odds and an estimated 52.70% chance to win, the Padres are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 59.59% over estimate and -115 line odds for 8.5 runs.
Posted at Fri, August 23, 2019 13:03:44 UTC