The At-Home Underdog Diamondbacks with Top Predicted Hitter Nick Ahmed Forecasted Winner Over the Cardinals

Wed, Sep 25, 2019 | Emma Botos


Cardinal Hurler Michael Wacha in 2017.
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September 25, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks are forecasted to win over the visiting Cardinals based a 56.02% win prediction from the MLB model.

The hosting Diamondbacks have Merrill Kelly in the rotation against the Cardinals's pitcher Michael Wacha. The Diamondbacks starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.634 outs, allow 2.362 earned runs, and a 0.010 probability of a complete game. The Cardinals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.746 outs, allow 2.911 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game.

Nick Ahmed, Diamondbacks's top hitter, will slug it out against Marcell Ozuna in today's game. Nick Ahmed is forecast to bat for 0.285 with 0.692 RBIs and 0.493 runs scored. Marcell Ozuna is forecast to bring in 0.673 RBIs and 0.541 run scored, with an 0.322 OBP and 0.979 Ks.

The Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line based on the +101 odds and a predicted 56.02% win estimate. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 9.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Wed, September 25, 2019 13:05:25 UTC