The At-Home Underdog Bears Forecasted Winner Over the Texans

Sat, Dec 12, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-13 -- The Bears likely winner at home over the Texans with a 63.1% of being correct based on our model.

At home, the Bears are forecast to score 22.1 points. Our model forecasts the Bears will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions against the Texans defense on a projected 26.6 competitions with 44.1 attempts for 271.3 passing yards. The Bears are forecast to rush for 150.9 yards on 27.4 attempts with an estimated 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Texans have an average of 15.2 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Texans will throw 20.8 competitions on 37.1 attempts against the Bears with a forecasted 1.9 interceptions for a total of 240.9 yards and 1.1 touchdown. The Texans are predicted to run for 100.4 yards on 25.1 attempts with an estimated 0.5 touchdowns.

With an estimated 67.8% likelihood to pass a +1.5 spread, the best value is on the Bears over the Texans against the spread. Based on the prediction model's over 54.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 45.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, December 12, 2020 13:12:17 UTC