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Sat, Sep 14, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-14 -- SMU likely winner at home over Texas State with a 85.9% of being correct based on our model.
In their hometown, SMU is forecast to score 30.6 points. Our model forecasts SMU will pass for 2.1 touchdown and 2.5 interceptions against the Texas State defense on a projected 26.5 competitions with 47.8 attempts for 322.7 passing yards. SMU is forecast to rush for 205.4 yards on 39.7 attempts with an estimated 1.2 rushing touchdowns.
Based on the montecarlo model, Texas State has an average of 13.1 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Texas State will throw 33.3 competitions on 52.6 attempts against SMU with a forecasted 1.2 interceptions for a total of 244.9 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. Texas State is estimated from the model to rush for 0.2 touchdowns against SMU with 14.6 rush attempts for 56.4 yards.
There is no best value the against the spread bets for Texas State (+17.5) at SMU matchup based on our model's game predictions. The over/under line of 59.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 66.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sat, September 14, 2019 14:50:12 MST