Sun, Sep 1, 2019 | Emma Botos
Brooks warms up for his 09-04-15 start against the Mariners
September 1, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Hunter Dozier and Jonathan Villar, our model estimates the Royals have an estimated 61.43% likelihood of defeating the Orioles.
The hosting Royals have Danny Duffy in the rotation against the Orioles's pitcher Aaron Brooks. The Royals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.181 outs, allow 2.730 earned runs, and a 0.007 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Orioles pitcher will have an outing for 6.073 innings, allowing 3.618 earned runs, with 3.208 walks.
In a hitting matchup, Jorge Soler of the Royals will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Trey Mancini. The Royals's Jorge Soler RF is estimated to score 1.019 runs, 1.026 RBIs and have a 0.408 OBP. Trey Mancini is forecast to bring in 0.688 RBIs and 0.749 runs scored, with an 0.360 OBP and 1.035 Ks.
With -125 money line odds and a forecasted 61.43% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Royals over the Orioles. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 63.56% over likelihood and -110 odds.
Posted at Sun, September 1, 2019 13:04:25 UTC