Sat, Sep 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
D. Benjamin Miller License
September 21, 2019 -- The Rays are forecasted to win over the visiting Red Sox based a 73.87% win prediction from the MLB model.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Rays's Tyler Glasnow and the Red Sox's Travis Lakins. Our model forecasts the Rays pitcher will have an outing for 7.272 innings, allowing 1.548 earned runs, with a 2.248 walks. The Red Sox starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.674 outs, allow 2.962 earned runs, and a 0.003 probability of a complete game.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Joey Wendle and Xander Bogaerts from Rays and Red Sox, respectively. The Rays's Joey Wendle is estimated to score 0.868 runs, 0.770 RBIs and have a 0.376 OBP. Xander Bogaerts is forecast to bring in 0.481 RBIs and 0.398 runs scored, with an 0.289 OBP and 0.872 Ks.
For this matchup Rays are the best value on the money line bets with on the -198 home ML odds and a forecasted 73.87% chance to win. With a predicted 51.93% likelihood and +100 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sat, September 21, 2019 14:10:28 MST