The At-Home Padres with Top Predicted Hitter Eric Hosmer Forecasted Winner Over the Cubs

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Emma Botos


Cole Hamels
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 11, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Manny Machado and Jason Heyward, our model estimates the Padres have an estimated 58.24% likelihood of defeating the Cubs.

On the mound for the Padres will be Chris Paddack paired against Cole Hamels. The Padres starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.690 outs, allow 1.604 earned runs, and a 0.028 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Cubs pitcher will have an outing for 6.765 innings, allowing 2.185 earned runs, with 2.716 walks.

In a hitting matchup, Eric Hosmer of the Padres will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Willson Contreras. The Padres's Eric Hosmer 1B is estimated to score 0.452 runs, 0.568 RBIs and have a 0.323 OBP. The Cubs's Willson Contreras from the plate is forecast to score 0.418 runs, 0.555 RBIs and have a 0.313 OBP.

For this matchup Padres are the best value on the money line bets with on the -105 home ML odds and a forecasted 58.24% chance to win. With a predicted 67.03% likelihood and -110 odds at 8.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 13:04:46 UTC