The At-Home Mets with Top Predicted Hitter Jeff McNeil Forecasted Winner Over the Phillies

Fri, Sep 6, 2019 | Emma Botos


Zach Eflin of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

September 6, 2019 -- The Mets have a 54.54% chance of winning at home against the Phillies according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Mets's Steven Matz and the Phillies's Zach Eflin. The Mets starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.351 outs, allow 2.708 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Phillies pitcher will have an outing for 6.359 innings, allowing 2.898 earned runs, with 2.576 walks.

The Mets's Jeff McNeil and the Phillies's Corey Dickerson will duel it out from the batter's box. Jeff McNeil is forecast to bat for 0.326 with 0.551 RBIs and 0.860 runs scored. According to our game model, Corey Dickerson is estimated to have 0.580 RBIs and score 0.680 runs over an estimated 4.879 at-bats.

The Phillies are the best value for the money line based on the +135 odds and a forecasted 45.46% win estimate. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 65.84% over likelihood and -115 odds.

Posted at Fri, September 6, 2019 13:05:02 UTC