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Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-07 -- Memphis is predicted to win over the visiting Southern based a 80.0% win prediction from the football model.
Memphis is estimated to score 32.5 points at home. Our model forecasts Memphis will pass for 1.7 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions against the Southern defense on a projected 25.2 competitions with 35.9 attempts for 230.8 passing yards. The model estimates Memphis will run on 55.8 attempts against Southern with an estimated total of 314.9 yards and 2.1 rushing touchdown.
Southern is estimated to score 17.1 points on the road. Southern is forecast to pass for 1.3 touchdowns on 29.8 pass attempts with 23.0 competitions for 258.1 yards, and a predicted 2.1 interception. Southern is estimated from the model to rush for 0.6 touchdowns against Memphis with 29.6 rush attempts for 93.9 yards.
Based on a predicted 88.0% probability to cover a +37.5 spread, Southern is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 77.6% likelihood and -110 odds at 68.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST