The At-Home Marlins with Top Predicted Hitter Garrett Cooper Likely Winner Over Odds-on Winner Brewers

Thu, Sep 12, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Caleb Smith with the Miami Marlins at Citizens Bank Park in April 2019
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License

September 12, 2019 -- The Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model estimates the Marlins to take the home win over the Brewers with a 50.80% estimate of being correct.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Marlins's Caleb Smith and the Brewers's Gio Gonzalez. Caleb Smith is estimated from the model to throw for 6.961 innings, allowing 1.907 earned runs, with 7.332 Ks. The Brewers's Gio Gonzalez is predicted to throw for 6.708 innings, allowing 2.272 earned runs, with 6.183 Ks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Garrett Cooper and Mike Moustakas from Marlins and Brewers, respectively. The Marlins's Garrett Cooper is estimated to score 0.534 runs, 0.561 RBIs and have a 0.347 OBP. Mike Moustakas 3B is forecast to bring in 0.587 RBIs and 0.520 runs scored, with an 0.299 OBP and 0.773 Ks.

The Marlins are the best value for the money line based on the +118 odds and a predicted 50.80% win estimate. With a predicted 62.62% likelihood and -114 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 12, 2019 13:05:20 UTC