The At-Home Lions Predicted Winner Over Odds-on Winner Chiefs

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-29 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports football prediction model, the Lions have a 53.7% winning against the Chiefs with an average score 25.6 to 22.9.

The Lions are estimated to score 25.6 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the Lions will throw 25.0 competitions on 40.1 attempts against the Chiefs with an estimated 2.0 interceptions for a total of 270.4 yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns. The Lions are predicted from the model to run for 1.2 touchdowns against Chiefs with 30.3 rush attempts for 161.1 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Chiefs have an average of 22.9 points for the game. The Chiefs are predicted from the model to throw for 244.2 yards on 39.9 attempts for 18.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. The Chiefs are estimated from the model to rush for 1.3 touchdowns against Lions with 28.1 rush attempts for 220.0 yards.

For this game Lions are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 63.6% chance to beat a +6.5 spread. Based on the prediction model's over 57.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 54.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 07:29:32 MST