Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-19 -- Iowa likely winner at home over Purdue with a 65.6% of being correct based on our model.
In their hometown, Iowa is forecast to score 24.9 points. Our model forecasts Iowa will pass for 1.7 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions against the Purdue defense on a projected 24.5 competitions with 42.5 attempts for 289.5 passing yards. The model estimates Iowa will run on 37.4 attempts against Purdue with an estimated total of 212.3 yards and 1.1 rushing touchdown.
Based on the montecarlo model, Purdue has an average of 17.9 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Purdue will throw 25.3 competitions on 40.4 attempts against Iowa with a forecasted 1.0 interceptions for a total of 286.1 yards and 1.4 touchdowns. Purdue is estimated from the model to rush for 0.4 touchdowns against Iowa with 24.1 rush attempts for 71.3 yards.
For this game, Purdue is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 34.4% probability to beat the +18.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 54.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 50.0 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC