The At-Home Indians with Top Predicted Hitter Carlos Santana Forecasted Winner Over the White Sox

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Emma Botos


Cleveland Indians pitcher Shane Bieber warms up in the bullpen at Progressive Field in 2018
Erik Drost on Flickr License

September 4, 2019 -- The Indians have a 75.86% chance of winning at home against the White Sox according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Indians's Shane Bieber and the White Sox's Ivan Nova. The Indians starting hurler is predicted to throw for 23.687 outs, allow 1.484 earned runs, and a 0.067 probability of a complete game. The White Sox's Ivan Nova is predicted to throw for 6.343 innings, allowing 2.918 earned runs, with 6.474 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Carlos Santana of the Indians will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Tim Anderson. Carlos Santana 1B is forecast to bat for 0.303 with 0.775 RBIs and 0.741 run scored. Tim Anderson is forecast to bring in 0.369 RBIs and 0.406 runs scored, with an 0.290 OBP and 0.920 Ks.

With -310 money line odds and a forecasted 75.86% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Indians over the White Sox. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 64.76% over estimate and +100 line odds for 8.5 runs.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 13:03:54 UTC