The At-Home Dolphins Forecasted Winner Over the Jets

Wed, Oct 14, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-18 -- The Dolphins likely winner at home over the Jets with a 68.3% of being correct based on our model.

The Dolphins have an average of 23.8 points in our model for the game. The Dolphins are estimated from the model to throw for 335.9 yards on 47.3 attempts for 31.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions. The model estimates the Dolphins will run on 28.4 attempts against the Jets with an estimated total of 116.2 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Jets have an average of 14.7 points for the game. The Jets are predicted from the model to throw for 223.4 yards on 36.7 attempts for 19.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. The Jets are predicted to run for 119.3 yards on 25.2 attempts with an estimated 0.6 touchdowns.

With an estimated 52.7% likelihood to pass a -8.5 spread, the best value is on the Dolphins over the Jets against the spread. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 47.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Wed, October 14, 2020 13:02:14 UTC