The At-Home Dodgers with Top Predicted Hitter David Freese Forecasted Winner Over the Rays

Wed, Sep 18, 2019 | Emma Botos


Travis d'Arnaud
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 18, 2019 -- The Dodgers likely winner at home over the Rays with a 81.15% of being correct based on our model.

This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Dodgers's Tony Gonsolin and the Rays's Brendan McKay. Tony Gonsolin is estimated from the model to throw for 7.383 innings, allowing 1.316 earned runs, with 5.601 K. Brendan McKay is estimated to have 2.914 earned runs, 20.745 outs, and 7.263 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, David Freese of the Dodgers will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Travis d'Arnaud. According to our game model, David Freese 3B is estimated to bring in 0.704 RBIs and 0.861 run scored, with an 0.400 OBP and 1.202 Ks. According to our game model, Travis d'Arnaud is estimated to have 0.487 RBIs and score 0.361 run over an estimated 4.044 at-bats.

The Dodgers are the best value for the money line based on the -130 odds and a predicted 81.15% win estimate. The over/under line of 8.5 runs with +102 over odds and a predicted 52.39% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Wed, September 18, 2019 06:53:59 MST