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Tue, Aug 6, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jake Arrieta warms up in the bullpen before a start with the Philadelphia Phillies
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August 6, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks are forecasted to win over the visiting Phillies based a 71.54% win prediction from the MLB model.
On the mound for the Diamondbacks will be Mike Leake paired against Jake Arrieta. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mike Leake will have 2.265 earned runs, a predicted 21.979 outs, and 6.103 strike outs. The Phillies's Jake Arrieta is predicted to throw for 6.050 innings, allowing 3.635 earned runs, with 6.246 Ks.
The Diamondbacks's Ketel Marte and the Phillies's Scott Kingery will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Ketel Marte is predicted to have 0.911 RBIs and score 0.922 runs over an estimated 4.703 at-bats. The Phillies's Scott Kingery from the plate is forecast to score 0.415 runs, 0.532 RBIs and have a 0.309 OBP.
For this matchup Diamondbacks are the best value on the money line bets with on the -130 home ML odds and a forecasted 71.54% chance to win. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 59.45% over likelihood and +100 odds.
Posted at Tue, August 6, 2019 13:04:06 UTC