The At-Home Chiefs Forecasted Winner Over the Colts

Thu, Oct 3, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-06 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports football prediction model, the Chiefs have a 64.8% winning against the Colts with an average score 29.3 to 20.7.

The Chiefs have an average of 29.3 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates the Chiefs will throw 24.9 competitions on 43.3 attempts against the Colts with an estimated 1.8 interceptions for a total of 267.4 yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns. The model estimates the Chiefs will run on 31.1 attempts against the Colts with an estimated total of 294.7 yards and 1.8 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast the Colts to score 20.7 points on the road. The Colts are forecast to pass for 1.5 touchdowns on 36.9 pass attempts with 25.2 competitions for 237.1 yards, and a predicted 1.9 interceptions. The Colts are predicted to run for 92.2 yards on 27.0 attempts with an estimated 0.6 touchdowns.

The Colts are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 54.7% likelihood estimate to cover a +11.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 55.8% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 57.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, October 3, 2019 21:19:54 MST