The At-Home Chargers Forecasted Winner Over the Jaguars

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-25 -- The Snoozle Sports football prediction model estimates the Chargers to take the home win over the Jaguars with a 64.5% estimate of being correct.

In their hometown, the Chargers are forecast to score 31.4 points. Our model forecasts the Chargers will pass for 2.5 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Jaguars defense on a projected 27.5 competitions with 42.8 attempts for 319.7 passing yards. The Chargers are forecast to rush for 172.6 yards on 29.1 attempts with an estimated 1.3 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Jaguars have an average of 21.4 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Jaguars will throw 28.0 competitions on 41.0 attempts against the Chargers with a forecasted 2.0 interceptions for a total of 276.4 yards and 1.6 touchdowns. The model predicts the Jaguars will rush on 25.3 attempts against the Chargers with an estimated total of 144.8 yards and 0.9 running touchdowns.

There is no best value the against the spread bets for the Jaguars (+7.5) at the Chargers matchup based on our model's game predictions. Based on the prediction model's over 81.2% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 49.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:11:43 UTC