Wed, Aug 7, 2019 | Emma Botos
Gerrit Cole of the pirates.
August 7, 2019 -- The Astros likely winner at home over the Rockies with a 83.50% of being correct based on our model.
The hosting Astros have Gerrit Cole in the rotation against the Rockies's pitcher Peter Lambert. Gerrit Cole is estimated from the model to throw for 7.125 innings, allowing 1.828 earned runs, with 6.548 Ks. The Rockies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 19.306 outs, allow 3.867 earned runs, and a 0.001 probability of a complete game.
The Astros's Yordan Alvarez and the Rockies's Charlie Blackmon will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Yordan Alvarez is predicted to have 1.224 RBIs and score 1.030 runs over an estimated 4.317 at-bats. Charlie Blackmon is forecast to bring in 0.459 RBIs and 0.554 runs scored, with an 0.307 OBP and 0.826 Ks.
With -360 money line odds and a forecasted 83.50% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Astros over the Rockies. According to prediction model the 70.23% over estimate and -120 line odds for 8.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Wed, August 7, 2019 13:04:18 UTC