The At-Home Astros with Top Predicted Hitter Yordan Alvarez Forecasted Winner Over the Angels

Sat, Sep 21, 2019 | Emma Botos


Wade Miley
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 21, 2019 -- The Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model estimates the Astros to take the home win over the Angels with a 76.49% estimate of being correct.

Probable starting pitchers Wade Miley and Patrick Sandoval duel it out for the Astros and Angels, respectively. The Astros starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.564 outs, allow 1.953 earned runs, and a 0.029 probability of a complete game. The Angels starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.135 outs, allow 3.332 earned runs, and a 0.003 probability of a complete game.

Yordan Alvarez, Astros's top hitter, will slug it out against Kole Calhoun in today's game. The Astros's Yordan Alvarez DH is estimated to score 0.872 runs, 1.007 RBIs and have a 0.414 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Kole Calhoun RF is predicted to bat for 0.225 with 0.578 RBIs and 0.473 runs scored.

Based on the -320 odds and an estimated 76.49% chance to win, the Astros are the best value for the money line. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-112)/under(-107) odds, the 9.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sat, September 21, 2019 14:10:28 MST