The At-Home Army Team is Forecasted the Winner Over UMass

Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

 Tweet 

2019-11-09 -- Army is predicted to win over the visiting UMass based a 97.2% win prediction from the football model.

At home, Army is forecast to score 44.7 points. Our model forecasts Army will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the UMass defense on a projected 9.5 competitions with 17.6 attempts for 164.5 passing yards. Army is predicted from the model to run for 4.0 touchdowns against UMass with 84.2 rush attempts for 495.9 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, UMass has an average of 8.7 points for the game. Our model forecasts UMass will pass for 0.4 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Army defense on a forecasted 13.6 competitions with 23.9 attempts for 122.2 yards. The model predicts UMass will rush on 23.1 attempts against Army with an estimated total of 106.8 yards and 0.4 running touchdowns.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for UMass (+35.0) at Army game. According to prediction model the 53.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 61.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC