Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-19 -- Alabama is predicted to win over the visiting Tennessee based a 83.2% win prediction from the football model.
Alabama has an average of 34.3 points in our model for the game. Alabama is expected to throw for 3.2 touchdowns with 44.1 pass attempts with 30.4 competitions for 458.9 yards, and an estimated 0.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts Alabama will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Tennessee defense on 37.2 attempts for a projected 174.0 yards.
Based on the montecarlo model, Tennessee has an average of 16.1 points for the game. Tennessee is forecast to pass for 0.9 touchdowns on 26.2 pass attempts with 14.1 competitions for 170.5 yards, and a predicted 1.3 interceptions. Tennessee is predicted to run for 127.3 yards on 31.5 attempts with an estimated 0.6 touchdowns.
For this game, Tennessee is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 16.8% probability to beat the +34.5 point spread. The over/under line of 62.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 57.3% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC