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The 49ers's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog Cowboys

Sun, Dec 20, 2020 | Rob Otto

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2020-12-20 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, the 49ers are likely to fail on the road with a 57.9% chance of being correct against the Cowboys.

The 49ers are predicted to score 19.6 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts 49ers will throw 24.9 competitions on 39.5 attempts against the Cowboys with a forecasted 0.1 interception for a total of 269.1 yards and 1.4 touchdowns. The model predicts the 49ers will rush on 26.8 attempts against the Cowboys with an estimated total of 134.6 yards and 0.7 running touchdowns.

The Cowboys have an average of 24.5 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts the Cowboys will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the 49ers defense on a projected 30.0 competitions with 45.1 attempts for 315.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Cowboys will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the 49ers defense on 28.5 attempts for a projected 138.4 yards.

The Cowboys are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 62.4% estimated to cover a +3.0 spread. Based on the prediction model's over 74.3% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 45.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sun, December 20, 2020 13:01:48 UTC