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Texas Tech Forecasted to Lose at Home to Oklahoma

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-09-28 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Texas Tech is likely to fail on the road with a 91.5% chance of being correct against Oklahoma.

Based on the montecarlo model, Texas Tech has an average of 14.8 points for the game. Texas Tech is predicted from the model to throw for 211.5 yards on 36.6 attempts for 22.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.5 interceptions. Texas Tech is predicted to run for 117.1 yards on 20.9 attempts with an estimated 0.5 touchdowns.

Oklahoma is estimated to score 42.3 points at home. Our model forecasts Oklahoma will pass for 2.9 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions against the Texas Tech defense on a projected 22.3 competitions with 36.7 attempts for 395.0 passing yards. Oklahoma is predicted from the model to run for 2.5 touchdowns against Texas Tech with 48.6 rush attempts for 353.9 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Texas Tech (+27.0) at Oklahoma game. The over/under line of 71.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 62.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC