Texas State Expected Loser at Home Against UTSA

Wed, Sep 9, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-09-12 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Texas State is predicted with a 82.5% to lose at home against UTSA.

Texas State is predicted to score 24.6 points on the home turf against UTSA. The Snoozle football model estimates Texas State will throw 21.2 competitions on 38.5 attempts against UTSA with an estimated 1.1 interception for a total of 221.6 yards and 1.3 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Texas State will run on 37.2 attempts against UTSA with an estimated total of 259.1 yards and 1.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, UTSA has an average of 46.3 points for the game. UTSA is predicted from the model to throw for 629.2 yards on 49.7 attempts for 45.3 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 4.5 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. UTSA is predicted to run for 197.5 yards on 49.2 attempts with an estimated 1.4 touchdowns.

An estimated 88.3% likelihood to beat a +6.5 point spread, the best value is on UTSA in their matchup against Texas State. With an over/under of 56.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 95.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, September 9, 2020 13:04:06 UTC