Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-26 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Texas is likely to fail on the road with a 67.3% chance of being correct against TCU.
Based on the montecarlo model, Texas has an average of 18.4 points for the game. Texas is predicted from the model to throw for 254.1 yards on 39.7 attempts for 22.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts Texas will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the TCU defense on 29.5 attempts for a projected 135.6 yards.
TCU has an average of 26.9 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts TCU will pass for 1.5 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Texas defense on a projected 23.3 competitions with 39.7 attempts for 253.7 passing yards. The model estimates TCU will run on 45.3 attempts against Texas with an estimated total of 276.7 yards and 1.5 rushing touchdowns.
With an estimated 67.3% likelihood to pass a +1.5 spread, the best value is on TCU over Texas against the spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 68.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 60.5 runs.
Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC