TCU on the Road Predicted to Beat Texas Tech

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- TCU has an predicted 74.3% chance for a road over Texas Tech.

Based on the montecarlo model, TCU has an average of 26.9 points for the game. Our model forecasts TCU will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions against the Texas Tech defense on a forecasted 22.7 competitions with 38.7 attempts for 306.6 yards. The model predicts TCU will rush on 45.1 attempts against Texas Tech with an estimated total of 235.3 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.

Texas Tech has an average of 16.2 points in our model for the game. Texas Tech is expected to throw for 1.0 touchdowns with 37.5 pass attempts with 20.6 competitions for 210.6 yards, and an estimated 0.8 interceptions. Texas Tech is forecast to rush for 126.7 yards on 27.8 attempts with an estimated 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

TCU is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 71.1% likelihood estimate to cover a -3.0 point spread. With a predicted 61.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 56.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC