Steelers Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat the Bills

Thu, Dec 12, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-16 -- The Steelers are predicted to win over the visiting Bills based a 55.9% win prediction from the football model.

At home, the Steelers are forecast to score 16.6 points. The Steelers are expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 42.0 pass attempts with 24.8 competitions for 225.9 yards, and an estimated 1.5 interceptions. The Steelers are predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Bills with 26.9 rush attempts for 122.1 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Bills have an average of 13.9 points for the game. The Bills are predicted from the model to throw for 161.4 yards on 33.1 attempts for 16.0 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 0.7 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Bills will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Steelers defense on 29.2 attempts for a projected 143.4 yards.

There is no best value the against the spread bets for the Bills (+2.5) at the Steelers matchup based on our model's game predictions. Based on the prediction model's over 62.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 36.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, December 12, 2019 13:03:50 UTC