Stanford's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog Oregon State

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- On the road, Stanford has a 83.5% chance to lose to Oregon State from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

The Snoozle model forecast Stanford to score 15.3 points on the road. Stanford is predicted from the model to throw for 256.2 yards on 37.2 attempts for 20.3 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts Stanford will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Oregon State defense on 24.8 attempts for a projected 103.4 yards.

Oregon State has an average of 35.0 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Oregon State will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 1.0 interceptions against the Stanford defense on a projected 24.9 competitions with 40.8 attempts for 311.1 passing yards. Oregon State is predicted from the model to run for 1.8 touchdowns against Stanford with 42.9 rush attempts for 242.4 yards.

Oregon State is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 85.2% estimated to cover a +3.5 spread. Based on the prediction model's over 53.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 58.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC