Southern Miss Led by Their Offense at Home Expected to Beat North Texas

Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-10-12 -- Southern Miss is predicted to win over the visiting North Texas based a 50.6% win prediction from the football model.

Southern Miss has an average of 31.5 points in our model for the game. Southern Miss is expected to throw for 2.5 touchdowns with 35.9 pass attempts with 22.3 competitions for 333.7 yards, and an estimated 0.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts Southern Miss will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the North Texas defense on 36.4 attempts for a projected 173.7 yards.

The Snoozle model forecast North Texas to score 30.2 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts North Texas will throw 28.1 competitions on 44.2 attempts against Southern Miss with a forecasted 0.3 interceptions for a total of 362.9 yards and 2.3 touchdowns. North Texas is predicted to run for 162.8 yards on 33.8 attempts with an estimated 1.1 touchdown.

Based on a predicted 55.9% probability to cover a +4.0 spread, North Texas is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 78.3% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 58.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC