Southern Miss Expected Loser at Home Against UTEP

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Southern Miss is predicted with a 50.9% to lose at home against UTEP.

Southern Miss is predicted to score 26.5 points on the home turf against UTEP. Our model forecasts Southern Miss will pass for 2.1 touchdown and 0.5 interceptions against the UTEP defense on a projected 26.6 competitions with 36.9 attempts for 341.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts Southern Miss will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the UTEP defense on 35.8 attempts for a projected 126.6 yards.

On the road, UTEP is forecast to score 27.0 points against Southern Miss. UTEP is forecast to pass for 1.7 touchdowns on 28.6 pass attempts with 15.5 competitions for 268.6 yards, and a predicted 0.7 interceptions. UTEP is estimated from the model to rush for 1.2 touchdowns against Southern Miss with 49.0 rush attempts for 217.9 yards.

For this game, UTEP is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 50.9% probability to beat the +25.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 77.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 52.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC