SMU with a Predicted Home Win Over ECU

Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

 Tweet 

2019-11-09 -- The Snoozle model estimates SMU has an estimated 80.0% likelihood of defeating ECU.

SMU is estimated to score 34.4 points at home. Our model forecasts SMU will pass for 2.6 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions against the ECU defense on a projected 27.7 competitions with 45.9 attempts for 399.8 passing yards. Our model forecasts SMU will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the ECU defense on 45.1 attempts for a projected 230.8 yards.

ECU is predicted to score 17.7 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts ECU will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.1 interception against the SMU defense on a forecasted 19.9 competitions with 38.5 attempts for 248.7 yards. ECU is predicted to run for 145.9 yards on 32.8 attempts with an estimated 0.6 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 63.2% probability to cover a +23.0 spread, ECU is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 72.2% likelihood and -110 odds at 70.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC