SMU Forecasted to Lose at Home to Memphis

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- SMU predicted with a 68.2% chance to chalk up a road loss against Memphis based on the Snoozle Sports model

The Snoozle model forecast SMU to score 19.2 points on the road. SMU is forecast to pass for 1.2 touchdowns on 33.3 pass attempts with 17.8 competitions for 240.6 yards, and a predicted 0.4 interceptions. SMU is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Memphis with 36.2 rush attempts for 161.2 yards.

At home, Memphis is forecast to score 28.0 points. Memphis is expected to throw for 1.9 touchdowns with 35.6 pass attempts with 22.7 competitions for 308.3 yards, and an estimated 0.5 interceptions. The model estimates Memphis will run on 40.7 attempts against SMU with an estimated total of 221.2 yards and 1.3 rushing touchdowns.

According to the odds and a forecasted 58.2% chance to beat the -5.5 point spread, Memphis is the best value. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 83.4% over estimate and -110 line odds for 70.5 runs.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC