Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-30 -- SMU under perform at home with a 73.3% chance to lose against Tulane based on our football model.
SMU has an average of 24.1 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts SMU will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Tulane defense on a projected 21.9 competitions with 39.2 attempts for 305.2 passing yards. The model estimates SMU will run on 37.0 attempts against Tulane with an estimated total of 163.0 yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns.
Tulane is estimated to score 38.1 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Tulane will throw 20.4 competitions on 35.6 attempts against SMU with a forecasted 0.9 interceptions for a total of 282.6 yards and 1.9 touchdowns. Tulane is predicted to run for 392.4 yards on 62.5 attempts with an estimated 2.6 touchdowns.
For this game, Tulane is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 73.3% probability to beat the +4.0 point spread. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 71.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC