Saints with a Predicted Home Win Over the Cowboys

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-29 -- The Saints likely winner at home over the Cowboys with a 67.0% of being correct based on our model.

In their hometown, the Saints are forecast to score 28.0 points. The Saints are estimated from the model to throw for 263.8 yards on 43.1 attempts for 30.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.0 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. The model estimates the Saints will run on 25.9 attempts against the Cowboys with an estimated total of 188.1 yards and 1.2 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Cowboys have an average of 18.6 points for the game. Our model forecasts Cowboys will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 2.1 interception against the Saints defense on a forecasted 23.0 competitions with 39.0 attempts for 296.1 yards. The Cowboys are estimated from the model to rush for 0.5 touchdowns against Saints with 25.7 rush attempts for 102.7 yards.

The Saints are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 70.7% estimated to cover a +2.5 spread. According to prediction model the 73.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 47.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 07:29:32 MST